Can Spurs beat Chelsea to the Premier League title? What the stats suggest

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Tottenham kept up their pressure on Chelsea this weekend with a 4-0 thumping of Bournemouth – and were promptly rewarded when the Blues were beaten 2-0 at Manchester United.

Many onlookers believed Chelsea had the Premier League title all but wrapped up, but two defeats in their last four matches has made the race to the finish closer than anticipated.

Spurs have been in imperious form since the turn of the year and are now just four points behind their London rivals with six games left to play.

As the following video shows, both as individuals and as a collective, the north Londoners could hardly be in better form.

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But the fact remains that for Spurs to win the title, they realistically need to win all their remaining fixtures, while needing Chelsea to drop points in two of their own.


Tottenham remaining fixtures (opponent’s league position): Leicester (12), Crystal Palace (15), Arsenal (7), West Ham (13), Manchester United (5), Hull (17).

Average league position of remaining opponents: 11.5

Points collected against remaining opponents this season: 11

Chelsea remaining fixtures: Southampton (9), Everton (6), Middlesbrough (19), West Brom (8), Watford (10), Sunderland (20).

Average league position of remaining opponents: 12

Points collected against remaining opponents earlier this season: 18


As the above highlights, Chelsea have a slightly easier run in to the end of the campaign, helped by the fact they have both of the bottom two clubs in the league left to play.

But there is a relatively big difference between the points the two sides have already collected against the remaining teams they still have to face.

Antonio Conte’s men may be starting to get a little worried, but they at least have the knowledge they have already beaten every side they will come up against between now and the end of the season.


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