You would be advised to play the long game when trading on Football Index, but prices can change fairly significantly just over the course of one month – as has been the case in October.
There were just three rounds of Premier League fixtures due to another international break on the weekend of October 12-13, but even good performances for countries can tempt traders into buying new players, while Champions League and Europa League football provided another chance to catch the eye.
Football Index works like any other stock market in that prices depend on the number of people buying and selling shares in a player. So a good month of performances can see a player’s price quickly rise as more traders buy shares, while poor performances, an injury or just being left out of the team can lead to traders selling shares and that player’s price falling.
Here are the top three price risers and fallers for every Premier League club from October 1 to October 28.
Biggest Risers: Gabriel Martinelli +£0.44; Kieran Tierney +£0.34; David Luiz +£0.10
Biggest Fallers: Bukayo Saka -£0.40; Joe Willock -£0.25; Rob Holding -£0.16
Martinelli is the third biggest riser in the entire Premier League for October, but it is in the Europa League where the Brazilian has made the biggest impact, scoring three goals in two games.
Tierney’s price has risen after starting and claiming assists in those same two Europa League fixtures before finally making his Premier League debut, while Luiz has scored two goals in three Premier League games.
Saka, meanwhile, was the 10th highest riser on the entire Football Index between January 1 and the end of September, but he clearly failed to inspire traders when starting Arsenal’s 1-0 win over Bournemouth and 1-0 defeat at Sheffield United in the Premier League.
Willock’s price has also fallen despite scoring in the Europa League, while Holding will have suffered from being kept on the bench for all three Premier League games during the month.
Biggest Risers: Jack Grealish +£0.30; Tyrone Mings +£0.14; John McGinn +£0.10
Biggest Fallers: Lovre Kalinic -£0.03; Tom Heaton -£0.02; Frederic Guilbert =£0.00
Biggest Risers: Callum Wilson +£0.20; Diego Rico +£0.16; Jefferson Lerma +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Lewis Cook -£0.09; Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld -£0.05; Dominic Solanke -£0.05
Biggest Risers: Leandro Trossard +£0.12; Adam Webster +£0.05; Alireza Jahanbakhsh +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Yves Bissouma -£0.07; Shane Duffy -£0.04; Solly March -£0.01
Biggest Risers: Ben Gibson +£0.04; Robbie Brady +£0.03; Jeff Hendrick +£0.03
Biggest Fallers: Ashley Barnes -£0.07; Chris Wood -£0.07; Ashley Westwood -£0.02
Biggest Risers: Christian Pulisic +£0.59; Jorginho +£0.47; Willian +£0.30
Biggest Fallers: Mason Mount -£0.42; Reece James -£0.32; Billy Gilmour -£0.27
Pulisic was already Chelsea’s third biggest riser of the month going into the weekend, but the American’s price has unsurprisingly shot up again after his hat-trick against Burnley.
As a player who makes and completes an awful lot of passes, Jorginho is someone traders may well believe offers a good chance of matchday dividends, which are awarded based on Opta stats.
Willian’s price is up after a month in which he contributed two goals and two assists from five appearances in the Premier League and Champions League, but Mount’s price has fallen despite him remaining a regular for Frank Lampard’s side.
James has suffered the same fate despite making his first two Premier League appearances during the month, while Gilmour did not feature for the first team in October.
Biggest Risers: Gary Cahill +£0.03; Christian Benteke +£0.02; Patrick van Aanholt +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Jordan Ayew -£0.03; Andros Townsend -£0.02; Wilfried Zaha -£0.01
Biggest Risers: Tom Davies +£0.19; Lucas Digne +£0.19; Theo Walcott +£0.05
Biggest Fallers: Moise Kean -£0.14; Dominic Calvert-Lewin -£0.07; Michael Keane -£0.06
Biggest Risers: Ben Chilwell +£0.36; Youri Tielemans +£0.32; Ricardo Pereira +£0.17
Biggest Fallers: Hamza Choudhury -£0.09; Demarai Gray -£0.03; James Maddison -£0.03
Chilwell is Leicester’s biggest riser after contributing a goal and two assists in their incredible 9-0 win at Southampton, with Tielemans close behind after one of each in the same game.
Pereira continues to impress for Brendan Rodgers’ side, but Choudhury played only four minutes across the Foxes’ three Premier League games. Gray managed 39 minutes and has also seen his price fall, but Maddison scored two goals from his three starts yet has also dropped.
Biggest Risers: Trent Alexander-Arnold +£0.94; Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain +£0.22; Georginio Wijnaldum +£0.17
Biggest Fallers: Rhian Brewster -£0.28; Mohamed Salah -£0.18; Roberto Firmino -£0.15
Alexander-Arnold’s price increased by the seventh most of any player on Football Index between January 1 and the end of September, and it rose by the most of any Premier League player in October as he emerged as the player to have created the most chances in the entire division.
Oxlade-Chamberlain scored that wonderful goal against Genk in the Champions League as he continues his impressive return from injury, while Wijnaldum started four of Liverpool’s five games across the month as one of Jurgen Klopp’s most trusted lieutenants.
Salah’s price drop could easily be down to the ankle injury that ruled him out of the Manchester United game, while no goals in five starts for Firmino may have contributed to his fall.
Having failed to break into the team as some had tipped, it is little surprise traders have been selling shares in Brewster.
Biggest Risers: Kevin De Bruyne +£0.59; Raheem Sterling +£0.37; Bernardo Silva +£0.11
Biggest Fallers: Kyle Walker -£0.07; Phil Foden -£0.03; Fernandinho – £0.02
Despite scoring just once and failing to provide an assist in October, De Bruyne is the joint second highest riser in the Premier League for the month.
Sterling’s rise is more explicable after his hat-trick in the Champions League against Atalanta and continued good form, while Bernardo Silva is also on the rise.
Walker’s price has gone in the opposite direction after just 45 minutes from three Premier League games, while Foden managed only 15 minutes. Fernandinho, however, started all five of City’s games, although he was sent off in the latest of those.
Biggest Risers: David de Gea +£0.14; Andreas Pereira +£0.05; Phil Jones +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Mason Greenwood -£0.73; Angel Gomes -£0.60; Paul Pogba -£0.32
United’s struggles do at least provide De Gea with plenty of chances to impress traders, while Pereira has benefitted from starting all three Premier League games in the month. Jones didn’t play in any of them, however, but sometimes absence makes the heart grow fonder.
Greenwood, meanwhile, was one of the top 10 most expensive players on the entire Index at the end of September, but a quiet October has seen his price fall more than any other Premier League player in the month.
Gomes has suffered a similar fate, while Pogba missed all five of United’s games with an ankle injury.
Biggest Risers: Allan Saint-Maximin +£0.20; Dwight Gayle +£0.08; Jamaal Lascelles +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Andy Carroll -£0.08; Joelinton -£0.04; Christian Atsu -£0.04
Biggest Risers: Timm Klose =£0.00; Moritz Leitner =£0.00; Christoph Zimmermann =£0.00
Biggest Fallers: Todd Cantwell -£0.15; Teemu Pukki -£0.11; Ben Godfrey -£0.08
Biggest Risers: Lys Mousset +£0.08; Oliver Norwood +£0.04; John Fleck +£0.04
Biggest Fallers: Oliver McBurnie -£0.05; Callum Robinson -£0.04; Ravel Morrison -£0.03
Biggest Risers: Harry Kane +£0.26; Toby Alderweireld +£0.17; Paulo Gazzaniga +£0.17
Biggest Fallers: Kyle Walker-Peters -£0.15; Son Heung-min -£0.10; Juan Foyth -£0.08
Spurs aren’t exactly firing on all cylinders at the moment, but three goals in two Champions League games has helped Kane’s price move up again, while Hugo Lloris’ injury has provided Gazzaniga with the chance to impress between the sticks.
Alderweireld’s price has also risen, but Walker-Peters’ is down after a month without any minutes, while Foyth managed only 17 in the Premier League. Son’s price is also down, surprisingly, after he matched Kane’s three goals in the Champions League.
Biggest Risers: Troy Deeney +£0.04; Gerard Deulofeu +£0.03; Daryl Janmaat +£0.01
Biggest Fallers: Ismaila Sarr -£0.13; Danny Welbeck -£0.09; Domingos Quina -£0.04
Biggest Risers: Robert Snodgrass +£0.08; Michail Antonio +£0.02; Jack Wilshere +£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Felipe Anderson -£0.14; Manuel Lanzini -£0.13; Declan Rice -£0.12
Biggest Risers: Willy Boly +£0.02; John Ruddy =£0.00; Ryan Bennett -£0.02
Biggest Fallers: Morgan Gibbs-White -£0.19; Pedro Neto -£0.14; Leander Dendoncker -£0.08
Sign up for Football Index’s exclusive Planet Football reader offer and take advantage of their 7-day £1000 money-back guarantee. Sign up here. T&Cs apply, 18+, begambleaware.org.
This is incredibly tough.
You said it. No, you said it.
Greenwood doesn’t need to score sexy goals.
Jurgen Klopp isn’t the only manager to skip work.
It was UEFA endorsed and happened midweek. Crazy.
Plus an extremely awkward Lucas Perez moment.
This sums up Liverpool’s second half.
He’s already at home in Serie A.
No wonder they’re reluctant in January.
They collect 1.5 million data points per match.