How many games it’ll take Harry Kane to break Alan Shearer’s PL record

Quick Reads

Harry Kane is continuing to maintain the form that has established him as one of the most prolific goalscorers in Premier League history.

The Tottenham striker marked his 200th Premier League appearance with his 137th goal, meaning only Sergio Aguero (138) has scored more goals in their first 200 appearances in the competition with a single club.

He still has a long way to go to beat Alan Shearer’s all-time record of 260 Premier League goals, but Kane is already thinking about the 200-goal club, of which Wayne Rooney is the only other member.

“I’m still only 26 so hopefully I can get to that 200-mark sooner rather than later and go from there,” Kane told Sky Sports after scoring Spurs’ victory over West Ham.

The England international is currently the 13th-highest goalscorer in Premier League history. He needs just seven more goals to draw level with Robin van Persie – and the former Arsenal captain reached that figure having played 77 games more than Kane has to date.

As things stand, Aguero and Thierry Henry (both 0.68) are the only players with 100+ Premier League goals with a better goals-per-game ratio than Kane, who is marginally behind on 0.67 due to his three appearances on loan at Norwich City.

We’ve calculated how many games it could take Kane to reach even more milestones in the future if he continues his current rate of scoring.

Landmarks in sight

– To draw level with Michael Owen, ninth on the all-time list with 100 goals, it will take Kane another 21 matches – a figure he could achieve, injury permitting, by early into the 2020-21 season.

– To draw level with Jermain Defoe, the highest Spurs player on the list (albeit having also played for West Ham, Portsmouth, Sunderland and Bournemouth) with 163 goals, it will take Kane another 39 matches. If he does so in that time he will have scored the same amount of Premier League goals as Defoe in 137 games fewer.

– To break into the top five all-time Premier League goalscorers, overtaking Frank Lampard’s tally of 177 goals, it will take Kane another 63 appearances – a figure he could achieve midway through the 2021-22 season.

– To become only the third player to score 200 Premier League goals, it will take Kane another 96 matches, and a further 12 appearances to draw level with Wayne Rooney in second with 208 goals.

– To become the Premier League’s all-time top scorer, overtaking 260 goals Alan Shearer, it will take Kane another 187 appearances – 4.9 seasons, approximately the 2024-25 season, when Kane will still only be 31 years of age.

Admittedly, Kane has struggled with injury in recent seasons and should that continue these figures are likely to change.

However, the last time we provided one of these updates came in 2017 before he had even reached a century of goals in the Premier League. In the three years since, Kane has endured a number of fitness issues, yet his goals-per-game ratio has only dropped from 0.69 to 0.67.

The only thing that may stop Kane from breaking Shearer’s all-time record may be if he decides to leave Tottenham and move abroad.

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